Tourism

STUDY: Intent to travel grows alongside consumer confidence

New research has revealed a growth in both intention to travel and consumer confidence within the travel and tourism industry.

The latest Roy Morgan Leading Indicator: Holiday Travel Intention report shows that during the quarter April to June 2020, a period in which the full scale of the pandemic’s effect was becoming apparent, 5.79 million Australians said they intended to take a holiday in the next 12 months.

This is well under half the 13.2 million who had that intention in the equivalent quarter of 2019.

The data is drawn from Single Source, the country’s largest, deepest and longest-running repository of information on consumer behaviour.

It shows that people’s intention to travel over the next 12 months is tightly linked to the confidence they are feeling in the overall economy.

Unsurprisingly, intention to travel plummeted as a result of the pandemic and the accompanying recession.

In the period April to June 2019, 63.8 per cent of Australians were intending to take a holiday over the following 12 months, compared to just 27.5 per cent in the period April to June this year.

However, that is still almost 6 million people, a figure likely to build as Consumer Confidence continues to increase, which Roy Morgan data shows it has been doing ever since the beginning of September.

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source, July 2015 – October 2020, monthly average of n=4,412. Base: Australians 14+.

“As with so much about this pandemic, no-one really knows what travel patterns will look like over the coming years, particularly while there is still no COVID-19 vaccine. For instance, will people feel safe boarding an aircraft as they once did?” said Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan.

“What is clear is that even in a year like this, when millions of people feel desperate for the kind of respite a holiday would offer, even a short break requires discretionary spending of the kind people are only willing to entertain when they are feeling reasonably confident about the economy.

“In the April to June quarter of 2020, 5.79 million Australians intended to take a holiday away from home in the next 12 months.

“If consumer confidence continues its upward trend, we can anticipate this number rising — which is why that index is so closely watched right across the entire travel and tourism sector.”


Featured image source: iStock/urbazon

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